The two largest field operations in the country right now are Bernie and Warren and it isn’t close. Biden doesn’t have the money to pay for a field op right now, and Pete hasn’t raised the money to compete outside the early states. Plus when your donors are corporate, they tend not to like the idea of spending money to go knock doors and make phone calls. Progressives are the only ones with skin in the game building orgs this year. Bernie has Warren beat in CA right now, but Warren is leading the field in staff nationwide (although when you factor in DSA Bernie might still be ahead in field too). Both are still rapidly expanding.
That’s why I’m getting more confidence that, after the early states, we’re really going to see the race come down to the two Progressives. Primaries are about turnout, and Progressives do field and turnout better than moderates. In the big states that look like the party, Bernie and Warren have a more commanding lead and are going to be the only ones talking to voters.
The magic number is 2,298. That’s the number of delegates it will take to get a majority on the second ballot at the DNC in Milwaukee. Both the Warren and Bernie campaigns have slates of vetted delegates that are committed to electing a progressive nominee. If we can put 2,298 of them in the room in Milwaukee, we can guarantee that one of the two wins even in a contested convention. Either a Sanders/Warren or Warren/Sanders ticket, or if not, the two get to decide the ticket without influence from the corporate wing of the party.
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