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Westlake Legal Group > News Media (Page 213)

Ousted Navy Secretary Digs At Trump In Washington Post Op-Ed

Westlake Legal Group 5ddf1c51210000ab9834e4d2 Ousted Navy Secretary Digs At Trump In Washington Post Op-Ed

Richard Spencer, who was ousted earlier this week as Navy secretary, on Wednesday publicly criticized President Donald Trump’s meddling in military justice proceedings.

Spencer wrote an opinion article in The Washington Post clarifying what happened when he was forced to resign Sunday for clashing with the president over the controversial case of Chief Petty Officer Eddie Gallagher, a Navy SEAL who was accused of several war crimes and convicted on one count this year.

“The public should know that we have extensive screening procedures in place to assess the health and well-being of our force. But we must keep fine-tuning those procedures to prevent a case such as this one from happening again,” Spencer wrote.

Defense Secretary Mark Esper asked Spencer to resign over his handling of Gallagher’s case, which had attracted Trump’s attention after conservative media embraced the SEAL. Gallagher was convicted in July after posing for a photo with the corpse of a captured teenage ISIS fighter in Iraq. He had also been accused of killing the fighter and of threatening fellow SEALs, but he was acquitted of those charges.

The Navy demoted Gallagher after his conviction in military court, but Trump reinstated his rank on Nov. 15. Spencer maintained that the Navy would still conduct an administrative review of Gallagher’s Trident pin, which symbolizes his membership in the SEAL group. The former Navy secretary wrote Wednesday that the review board consisted of four senior enlisted SEALs who were Gallagher’s peers in the community.

“Normally, military justice works best when senior leadership stays far away,” Spencer said. “A system that prevents command influence is what separates our armed forces from others. Our system of military justice has helped build the world’s most powerful navy; good leaders get promoted, bad ones get moved out and criminals are punished.”

Trump tweeted Nov. 21 that Gallagher would be allowed to keep his pin, though Spencer said he did not view the tweet as an order from the president and decided to continue with the review.

“This was a shocking and unprecedented intervention in a low-level review,” Spencer said Wednesday of Trump’s action in Gallagher’s case. “It was also a reminder that the president has very little understanding of what it means to be in the military, to fight ethically or to be governed by a uniform set of rules and practices.”

In his resignation letter, Spencer said he could not “in good conscience obey an order that I believe violated a sacred oath I took in the presence of my family, my flag, and my faith to support and defend the Constitution of the United States.”

At Trump’s campaign rally Tuesday in Sunrise, Florida, the president said he would “always stick up” for members of the military, even if they are accused and convicted of war crimes. Trump called the three accused war criminals he had pardoned “great warriors,” while referring to career Navy officials as the “deep state.”

“Americans need to know that 99.9 percent of our uniformed members always have, always are and always will make the right decision,” Spencer said. “Our allies need to know that we remain a force for good, and to please bear with us as we move through this moment in time.”

Esper said Monday that Trump directed him to stop proceedings against Gallagher. Gallagher is expected to retire from the Navy this weekend.

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Trump retreats on impeachment: won’t send lawyer to hearing after complaining lawyer wasn’t included

Westlake Legal Group CRImKyqEibhSqYwHJo7Rvf0d2xPuLiaSdSGz7fhkNRo Trump retreats on impeachment: won't send lawyer to hearing after complaining lawyer wasn't included r/politics

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Hilaria Baldwin responds to ‘negative comments’ about her miscarriage: ‘It makes the trolls seem smaller’

Hilaria Baldwin fired back at online critics who have accused her of using her recent miscarriage as a ploy to seek attention.

The fitness maven let the trolls have it when she shared a number of messages to her Instagram Stories on Tuesday describing the criticism she said she’s been subjected to.

“All of a sudden I started getting negative comments about my miscarriage,” Baldwin, 35, revealed. “‘Attention seeker,’ ‘too old,’ ‘disgusting’ … Losing a baby at any stage is hitting rock bottom.”

HAILEY BALDWIN SHARES SUPPORT FOR AUNT HILARIA AFTER HER SECOND MISCARRIAGE ANNOUNCEMENT

Westlake Legal Group GettyImages-1189231081 Hilaria Baldwin responds to ‘negative comments’ about her miscarriage: ‘It makes the trolls seem smaller’ Julius Young fox-news/person/alec-baldwin fox-news/entertainment/celebrity-news fox news fnc/entertainment fnc article 17618138-bc57-5358-a1b7-93f18a8f545f

Alec Baldwin and Hilaria Baldwin attended the American Museum of Natural History 2019 Gala in New York City. (Photo by Jamie McCarthy/Getty Images)

“Rock bottom sucks,” she continued. “But rock bottom is also eye-opening. Because you understand and have experienced true pain. It makes the trolls seem even smaller than they usually are. Because no words they can use can ever compare to what you have lost.”

Baldwin also defended women who have been “bullied” by others over shedding light on their own sensitive experiences, adding that those doing the bullying are “bringing a cruelty to the world that is wrong.”

ALEC BALDWIN WELCOMES FOURTH CHILD WITH WIFE HILARIA BALDWIN

“You are contributing to feelings of shame, fear, insufferable pain,” Baldwin continued. “It is for this reason that I have stepped forward and shared as I have. Not for attention, but because it is my life story and I decided to open up. You think I wanted this?”

The “Mom Brain” podcast host concluded: “Because of societal pressure, most of us stay silent. And this can be one of the loneliest pains possible. I’m trying to promote the gift of being able to share what is going on … Just to know that we are not alone, and we are not ‘broken.’ We are just opening ourselves up to love. And we should never be ashamed of this… even when it doesn’t go as planned.”

ALEC BALDWIN REVEALS HE AND WIFE, HILARIA, WILL ‘HAVE A FIFTH’ BABY TOGETHER

Baldwin — who had announced in September she and husband Alec Baldwin were expecting their fifth baby — broke the heartbreaking news earlier this month that she had suffered a miscarriage.

“We are very sad to share that today we learned that our baby passed away at 4 months. We also want you to know that even though we are not ok right now, we will be,” she wrote on Instagram with a video of her and her daughter, Carmen, 6.

Hilaria continued: “We are so lucky with our 4 healthy babies — and we will never lose sight of this. I told Carmen and took this so I could send it to Alec. I guess this is a good way to share it with you too. I told her that this baby isn’t going to come after all… but we will try very hard to give her a little sister another time.”

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This is the second miscarriage Hilaria has suffered this year. In April, Hilaria revealed that she received the devastating news that she had suffered a miscarriage.

Fox News’ Tyler McCarthy contributed to this report.

Westlake Legal Group Hilaria-Baldwin-Alec-Baldwin Hilaria Baldwin responds to ‘negative comments’ about her miscarriage: ‘It makes the trolls seem smaller’ Julius Young fox-news/person/alec-baldwin fox-news/entertainment/celebrity-news fox news fnc/entertainment fnc article 17618138-bc57-5358-a1b7-93f18a8f545f   Westlake Legal Group Hilaria-Baldwin-Alec-Baldwin Hilaria Baldwin responds to ‘negative comments’ about her miscarriage: ‘It makes the trolls seem smaller’ Julius Young fox-news/person/alec-baldwin fox-news/entertainment/celebrity-news fox news fnc/entertainment fnc article 17618138-bc57-5358-a1b7-93f18a8f545f

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Meghan Markle, Prince Harry share new wedding photo to celebrate engagement anniversary

Westlake Legal Group harrymarkle Meghan Markle, Prince Harry share new wedding photo to celebrate engagement anniversary Nate Day fox-news/world/personalities/british-royals fox-news/topic/royals fox-news/person/prince-harry fox-news/entertainment/events/couples fox-news/entertainment/celebrity-news/meghan-markle fox-news/entertainment/celebrity-news fox-news/entertainment fox news fnc/entertainment fnc article 3ee761d7-2250-5bc9-9e04-69091dd51616

The Duke and Duchess of Sussex are marking a special occasion with an adorable Instagram post.

Two years ago Wednesday, Meghan Markle, 38, and Prince Harry, 35, announced their engagement to the world.

The Instagram post contained three photos: one showing off Markle’s ring, one new image from their glamorous royal wedding and a third with their son, Archie.

KACEY MUSGRAVES’ HIGH-FIVE WITH PRINCE HARRY GOT HER IN TROUBLE: ‘I DIDN’T KNOW’

In 2017, the pair’s engagement announcement came at the Sunken Garden of Kensington Palace.

The two went on to wed on May 19, 2018, and welcomed baby Archie on May 6, just before their one-year anniversary.

HELENA BONHAM CARTER ISSUES ADVICE TO MEGHAN MARKLE AMID PRESS FEUD: ‘IT’S A DOMAIN YOU HAVE TO ACCEPT’

According to People magazine, Meghan and Harry are currently in the midst of taking about six weeks off for some “much-needed family time.”

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“The duke and duchess have a full schedule of engagements and commitments until mid-November, after which they will be taking some much-needed family time,” a royal source told the outlet.

Westlake Legal Group harrymarkle Meghan Markle, Prince Harry share new wedding photo to celebrate engagement anniversary Nate Day fox-news/world/personalities/british-royals fox-news/topic/royals fox-news/person/prince-harry fox-news/entertainment/events/couples fox-news/entertainment/celebrity-news/meghan-markle fox-news/entertainment/celebrity-news fox-news/entertainment fox news fnc/entertainment fnc article 3ee761d7-2250-5bc9-9e04-69091dd51616   Westlake Legal Group harrymarkle Meghan Markle, Prince Harry share new wedding photo to celebrate engagement anniversary Nate Day fox-news/world/personalities/british-royals fox-news/topic/royals fox-news/person/prince-harry fox-news/entertainment/events/couples fox-news/entertainment/celebrity-news/meghan-markle fox-news/entertainment/celebrity-news fox-news/entertainment fox news fnc/entertainment fnc article 3ee761d7-2250-5bc9-9e04-69091dd51616

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UPS employees ran drug trafficking ring for a decade, authorities say

A group of United Parcel Service (UPS) employees are accused of smuggling shipments of drugs and counterfeit vaping oils from Mexico and distributing the illicit products around the U.S. for at least a decade.

Authorities arrested 11 people, including four UPS drivers and supervisors, in Tucson, Ariz., for their roles in the alleged smuggling ring, the Department of Homeland Security said. Investigators say the suspects moved thousands of pounds of marijuana and other drugs into the U.S. from Mexico each week using the company’s standard cardboard boxes, bypassing security measures.

Mario Barcelo, a 20-year UPS employee and dispatch supervisor — was named as the alleged ringleader of the operation. In a news release, the federal authorities said officials learned of the operation in 2017. Barcelo was arrested on Nov. 13.

Prosecutors said the 49-year-old used his position in the Tucson UPS distribution facility to ensure the drug shipments were loaded to the correct trucks and delivered to the intended destinations. Authorities in Tucson had been investigating Barcelo since 2009, The Washington Post reported.

Westlake Legal Group Capture-3 UPS employees ran drug trafficking ring for a decade, authorities say Louis Casiano fox-news/us/us-regions/southwest/arizona fox-news/us/us-regions/southwest fox-news/us/crime/drugs fox-news/us/crime fox news fnc/us fnc article 27bb8cf6-a831-551a-928f-4426d92b4b6e

A UPS facility in Tucson, Ariz. Several company employees face chanrges in connection with an alleged drug trafficking ring that used trucks to distribute drugs across the U.S.  (Google Maps)

However, they became frustrated when UPS would not cooperate with them to intercept and prevent potential crimes. They cited a 2017 incident in which they were prevented from entering the Tucson facility after learning of an illicit shipment.

In a statement to Fox News, UPS said it is cooperating with law enforcement but is “not at liberty to discuss the details of the arrests as this is an ongoing investigation.”

Aside from Barcelo, UPS supervisor Gary Love and drivers Michael Castro and Thomas Mendoza are charged with money laundering, drug possession and drug distribution. Seven others are facing charges on shipping drugs and operating stash houses.

Raul Garcia Cordova, 47, faces more than a dozen charges. A police raid at his home turned up 50,000 counterfeit vaping pens, a Chevrolet Corvette and a Range Rover.

Westlake Legal Group d016cef9-Capture UPS employees ran drug trafficking ring for a decade, authorities say Louis Casiano fox-news/us/us-regions/southwest/arizona fox-news/us/us-regions/southwest fox-news/us/crime/drugs fox-news/us/crime fox news fnc/us fnc article 27bb8cf6-a831-551a-928f-4426d92b4b6e

Raul Cordova, 47, is facing more than a dozen charges after his home was raided by authorities.

Prosecutors said Barcelo and the alleged suspects expand their operation from delivering marijuana to more lucrative drugs and black-market vaping pens.

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Undercover officers posing as drug traffickers contacted Barcelo to ship a fake shipment of cocaine in 2018 and 2019. Trackers were placed inside boxes containing the products to documents its movement and the phones of UPS employees were tapped.

Police also obtained video footage of the group coordinating the operations.

Westlake Legal Group Capture-3 UPS employees ran drug trafficking ring for a decade, authorities say Louis Casiano fox-news/us/us-regions/southwest/arizona fox-news/us/us-regions/southwest fox-news/us/crime/drugs fox-news/us/crime fox news fnc/us fnc article 27bb8cf6-a831-551a-928f-4426d92b4b6e   Westlake Legal Group Capture-3 UPS employees ran drug trafficking ring for a decade, authorities say Louis Casiano fox-news/us/us-regions/southwest/arizona fox-news/us/us-regions/southwest fox-news/us/crime/drugs fox-news/us/crime fox news fnc/us fnc article 27bb8cf6-a831-551a-928f-4426d92b4b6e

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Gutfeld on talking politics during the holidays

Westlake Legal Group 694940094001_6109745959001_6109744668001-vs Gutfeld on talking politics during the holidays Greg Gutfeld fox-news/special/occasions/holiday fox-news/shows/the-five/transcript/gregs-monologue fox-news/opinion fox-news/food-drink/recipes/meals/thanksgiving fox news fnc/opinion fnc article 1c0dbd5b-d3e3-5cb2-8921-3d78eb28db30

Even Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., is giving advice on how to avoid politics at Thanksgiving.

“If you are going home … and getting nervous about arguing with your mom or your dad, or your aunt or your uncle, I think the point to be made is … the values we are fighting for are really not new values,” Sanders said. “They’re going to have a hard time explaining why it’s OK for three people to own more wealth than the bottom half of America.”

You see that? He said, “Let’s unify.” Then he slammed the rich!

GUTFELD ON PETE DAVIDSON SWEARING OFF PERFORMING AT COLLEGES

That’s different. We’re not interested in prolonging the debate, only in ending it with a quick knock-out.

So, let’s start with economic inequality. Did you know 70 percent of rich Americans grew up in lower-income households? Yep, they moved up.

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Wealth not only leaves the wealthy after generations. It shifts to the poor.

I mean, how else could Sanders afford so many homes? He moved up the ladder he claims didn’t exist. When the only thing he could run is a stocking.

You want to talk impeachment? Fine. Good luck impeaching President Trump for doing his job, which is uncovering corruption. If satisfying the public interest helps his interests, so what?

And quid pro quo? That’s life. It’d be great to get something for nothing, but that involves killing. Bartering beats bombing.

Unless it’s the Islamic State. The orange man finished them off. And let the dog have the last laugh.

Climate change? So what’s your position on China, seeing as it’s the world’s worst fossil fuel polluter? Oh, I forgot. China’s not America. Guess they get a pass.

But I’ll listen to Bill Gates, who says nuclear is a vital energy source, especially if you want to cut carbon emissions.

Trump? Yeah, he’s bad: we have the lowest unemployment in decades for blacks, women, Hispanics are doing better under Trump than Obama. And bodies aren’t coming home in coffins.

What’s your alternative?

Sanders? Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass.? Former Vice President Joe Biden? Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg? Who’s going sponsor that debate? Life Alert?

Here’s what Trump just tweeted.

The media described it as “doctored.” Thanks, geniuses.

You’re so going to miss him when he’s gone in 2024.

The fact is that Trump has changed politics. He’s rearranged the place settings at America’s table. Left is right; right is left.

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So sit back and enjoy the meal.

Maybe this year I’ll get to sit with the grown-ups.

Adapted from Greg Gutfeld’s monologue on “The Five” on Nov. 27, 2019.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE BY GREG GUTFELD

Westlake Legal Group 694940094001_6109745959001_6109744668001-vs Gutfeld on talking politics during the holidays Greg Gutfeld fox-news/special/occasions/holiday fox-news/shows/the-five/transcript/gregs-monologue fox-news/opinion fox-news/food-drink/recipes/meals/thanksgiving fox news fnc/opinion fnc article 1c0dbd5b-d3e3-5cb2-8921-3d78eb28db30   Westlake Legal Group 694940094001_6109745959001_6109744668001-vs Gutfeld on talking politics during the holidays Greg Gutfeld fox-news/special/occasions/holiday fox-news/shows/the-five/transcript/gregs-monologue fox-news/opinion fox-news/food-drink/recipes/meals/thanksgiving fox news fnc/opinion fnc article 1c0dbd5b-d3e3-5cb2-8921-3d78eb28db30

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Trump Has Spent $115 Million On Golf Trips ― Or 287 Years Of Presidential Salary

Westlake Legal Group G6oVgv4eifA7xBkikPdzCLnF_oNdkJCrOEhZM4c3yKc Trump Has Spent $115 Million On Golf Trips ― Or 287 Years Of Presidential Salary r/politics

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Nick Jonas surprised with new puppy by wife Priyanka Chopra

Westlake Legal Group 617679acea8c9755638629c8d547a31ew-c0xd-w640_h480_q80 Nick Jonas surprised with new puppy by wife Priyanka Chopra Nate Day fox-news/person/nick-jonas fox-news/entertainment/events/couples fox-news/entertainment fox news fnc/entertainment fnc b3665512-875a-5a2f-8c4c-a91e651803d2 article

Nick Jonas and Priyanka Chopra have welcomed a new family member.

Just days ahead of their one-year wedding anniversary, Chopra, 37, woke up her beau, 27, with a little help from Gino, their German Shepherd puppy.

The “Chains” singer posted a video on Instagram showing his wife waking him up and helping the pup onto the bed.

MARIAH CAREY’S ‘ALL I WANT FOR CHRISTMAS IS YOU’ BREAKS THREE WORLD RECORDS

“What?” Nick groggily repeated several times while being greeted by the dog.

The post also contained a sweet snap of the singer and the pooch cuddling on the floor, and another of Gino with a chew toy.

“Pri came home with the absolute best surprise this morning. Please meet our new pup @ginothegerman I haven’t stopped smiling since I woke up this morning and finally realized what was going on. Thank you @priyankachopra ❤️ 🐕,” Jonas captioned the post.

NICK JONAS AND PRIYANKA CHOPRA CELEBRATE HINDU HOLIDAY KARVA CHAUTH TOGETHER

The pooch even has his own Instagram page, which already has 247,000 followers as of Wednesday.

“I’m here. I’m Home,” the page’s first post is captioned, featuring a photo of Gino and Jonas all snuggled up.

The couple also owns Diana, a small rescue pup that also has an Instagram page.

“Hey kiddo! Just wanted to show you around the house and remind you who’s the older one!” said the caption of Diana’s latest post.

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The video features Diana chasing Gino through the halls of their shared home.

Westlake Legal Group 617679acea8c9755638629c8d547a31ew-c0xd-w640_h480_q80 Nick Jonas surprised with new puppy by wife Priyanka Chopra Nate Day fox-news/person/nick-jonas fox-news/entertainment/events/couples fox-news/entertainment fox news fnc/entertainment fnc b3665512-875a-5a2f-8c4c-a91e651803d2 article   Westlake Legal Group 617679acea8c9755638629c8d547a31ew-c0xd-w640_h480_q80 Nick Jonas surprised with new puppy by wife Priyanka Chopra Nate Day fox-news/person/nick-jonas fox-news/entertainment/events/couples fox-news/entertainment fox news fnc/entertainment fnc b3665512-875a-5a2f-8c4c-a91e651803d2 article

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Trump signs bill supporting Hong Kong protesters despite strong opposition from China

Westlake Legal Group AP19328665445442-1 Trump signs bill supporting Hong Kong protesters despite strong opposition from China fox-news/world/world-regions/hong-kong fox-news/world/world-regions/china fox-news/politics/foreign-policy fox-news/person/donald-trump fox news fnc/politics fnc article Andrew O'Reilly 2ab0de3a-3024-57b7-9c1c-41f312ce24c3

President Trump on Wednesday signed the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act after it was passed by the Senate and House earlier this month.

Trump’s signature comes as Hong Kong continues to be gripped by turmoil amid widespread discontent over Chinese rule in the special administrative region. Chinese officials had hoped Trump would veto the bill.

“The act reaffirms and amends the United States-Hong Kong Policy Act of 1992, specifies United States policy towards Hong Kong, and directs assessment of the political developments in Hong Kong,” Trump said in a statement.

He added: “Certain provisions of the Act would interfere with the exercise of the President’s constitutional authority to state the foreign policy of the United States.  My administration will treat each of the provisions of the Act consistently with the president’s constitutional authorities with respect to foreign relations.”

HELEN RALEIGH: US MUST STAND WITH HONG KONG FREEDOM FIGHTERS

The human rights act mandates sanctions on Chinese and Hong Kong officials who carry out human rights abuses and requires an annual review of the favorable trade status that Washington grants Hong Kong.

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang said earlier this month the act undermines both American and Chinese interests in Hong Kong.

“We urge the U.S. to grasp the situation, stop its wrongdoing before it’s too late, prevent this act from becoming law [and] immediately stop interfering in Hong Kong affairs and China’s internal affairs,” Geng said at a daily news briefing.

“If the U.S. continues to make the wrong moves, China will be taking strong countermeasures for sure,” Geng said.

Hong Kong kept its advantageous trading status with the U.S. upon its 1997 handover to China by the U.K., in recognition of Beijing’s pledge to allow it to retain its own laws, independent judiciary and civil and economic freedoms.

That independent status has come into question amid moves by Beijing to gradually strengthen its political control over the territory, helping spark months of increasingly violent protests.

HONG KONG PROTESTERS’ FAMILIES FEAR UNIVERSITY SHOWDOWN COULD SPARK ‘TIANANMEN 2.0’

Earlier in November, China’s legislature argued it had the sole right to interpret the validity of Hong Kong’s laws after the territory’s court struck down an order banning the wearing of masks at protests. Legal scholars described that as a power grab violating the governing framework known as “one country, two systems.”

With Hong Kong’s Beijing-backed government refusing to enter into dialogue or make concessions, the territory’s police force has been given broad powers to quell the protests. That has brought numerous complaints of excessive use of force and the abuse of detainees, along with a near-complete lack of accountability for officers.

In a September report, Amnesty International documented numerous cases where protesters had to be hospitalized for treatment of injuries inflicted while being arrested.

The signing of the act may prove harmful for the administration’s moves to ease tensions with China, but it was widely praised by both Democrat and Republican lawmakers.

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“The signing of this legislation into law ensures the United State finally sends a clear and unequivocal message to the people of Hong Kong: We are with you,” Sen. Bob Menendez, D-N.J., the ranking member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said in a statement. “With the world standing witness to history as the people of Hong Kong risk it all in pursuit of their legitimate aspirations for autonomy and against the erosion of democracy, I am incredibly proud to support the people of Hong Kong with the tools in this powerful new law.”

Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., added: I applaud President Trump for signing this critical legislation into law. The U.S. now has new and meaningful tools to deter further influence and interference from Beijing into Hong Kong’s internal affairs.”

Trump’s signing of the act comes just days after pro-democracy candidates in Hong Kong won 269 out of 452 seats in 18 district council races, while pro-Beijing forces, who previously held 73 percent of the seats, won only 30. Voters came out in droves with a 71 percent turnout — up from 47 percent four years ago in the same elections, according to the Electoral Affairs Commission.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

Westlake Legal Group AP19328665445442-1 Trump signs bill supporting Hong Kong protesters despite strong opposition from China fox-news/world/world-regions/hong-kong fox-news/world/world-regions/china fox-news/politics/foreign-policy fox-news/person/donald-trump fox news fnc/politics fnc article Andrew O'Reilly 2ab0de3a-3024-57b7-9c1c-41f312ce24c3   Westlake Legal Group AP19328665445442-1 Trump signs bill supporting Hong Kong protesters despite strong opposition from China fox-news/world/world-regions/hong-kong fox-news/world/world-regions/china fox-news/politics/foreign-policy fox-news/person/donald-trump fox news fnc/politics fnc article Andrew O'Reilly 2ab0de3a-3024-57b7-9c1c-41f312ce24c3

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UK PM Boris Johnson Set To Win Parliamentary Majority: YouGov Model

Westlake Legal Group 5ddf08762500009927d2e737 UK PM Boris Johnson Set To Win Parliamentary Majority: YouGov Model

LONDON, Nov 27 (Reuters) – British Prime Minister Boris Johnson is on course to win a majority of 68 in parliament at the Dec. 12 election, according to a model from pollsters YouGov that accurately predicted the 2017 election.

Johnson has pledged to deliver Brexit by Jan. 31 if he wins the election after nearly four years of political crisis that has shocked allies of what was once considered one of the pillars of Western economic and political stability.

His Conservative Party could win 359 seats out of 650, up from 317 in the 2017 general election and the best result for the party since Margaret Thatcher’s 1987 victory, according to the YouGov model, called Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification – or ‘MRP’ for short.

“Our first MRP model projection for the 2019 election suggests that this time round the Conservatives are set for a majority,” said Anthony Wells, director of political and social research at YouGov.

“The swing to the Conservative party is bigger in areas that voted to Leave in 2016, with the bulk of the projected Tory gains coming in the North and the urban West Midlands, as well as former mining seats in the East Midlands.”

The Labour Party is on track to secure 211 seats, down from 262, according to the model. The SNP were on 43, the Lib Dems on 13 and the Brexit Party winning no seats.

Sterling, which rose earlier when rumors of the poll circulated, shot up when the poll was published, rising half a cent in minutes to hit a day’s high of $1.2948.

HEADING FOR BREXIT

The YouGov model crunches data from more than 100,000 interviews over seven days along with demographics, specific constituency circumstances and national statistics to come up with a projection.

It shows the election is now Johnson’s to lose.

According to the model, Johnson’s Conservatives would gain 47 seats – 44 of them from Labour, two from the Liberal Democrats and one from the Speaker’s old seat. Labour are on course to not take any new seats.

“Most seats changing hands are ones that Labour won in 2017 that are now set to be taken by the Conservatives,” YouGov said.“What happens in these constituencies is the most important dynamic in deciding whether Boris Johnson has a majority, and how large it ends up being.”

The Brexit Party are hurting the Conservatives more than Labour, according to the model. Independents are finding it difficult to pick up seats. The model does not point to Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab or Johnson being in danger of losing their seats.

The margins of error in the model put the Conservatives seat projection between 328 and 385, YouGov said, adding that there was still more than sufficient time for people to change their minds before Dec. 12 – the first Christmas election in nearly a century.

In late May 2017, just over a week before the June 8 election, YouGov using the model to project that then Prime Minister Theresa May would lose her majority.

The model, developed by Ben Lauderdale of the London School of Economics and Doug Rivers of Stanford University, was accurate: May did lose her majority, a failure that complicated Brexit and eventually destroyed her premiership.

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