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Stacey Abrams: Republicans could send off-duty law enforcement into polling places next year to intimidate minority voters

Westlake Legal Group sa-1 Stacey Abrams: Republicans could send off-duty law enforcement into polling places next year to intimidate minority voters voter The Blog suppression Stacey Abrams Polling places MSNBC law enforcement democrats

Via the Free Beacon, there’s some agita online today about Abrams floating another hair-raising theory of corruption at the polls after insisting without evidence for months that she’s the rightfully elected governor of Georgia. Although, interestingly, she seems to be backing off that last claim now — somewhat, allowing last night that “I don’t know that empirically I would have won” last year.

Does that mean the rest of the party is now free to punt on the burning question of who the “real” governor is, or do racial politics require them to hug the “Stacey won” talking point tight even as she’s inched away from it?

Anyway, she’s on firmer empirical ground in worrying about off-duty patrolmen turning up in majority-minority districts in 2020 on behalf of the GOP. It sounds outlandish but that actually happened in New Jersey in 1981. Armed off-duty cops showed up at the polls in black neighborhoods wearing armbands identifying them as part of the “National Ballot Security Task Force,” which sounds like an official government agency but was actually just an outfit thrown together by the RNC. (There’s a Wikipedia page and everything.) It created enough of a stir that the RNC entered into a consent decree the following year in which it promised not to use such tactics for 35 years. The consent decree lapsed in 2017 and the DNC went to court to try to get it extended but lost. So, in theory, the RNC is free to try this again. Whether they’d dare do that in an age of ubiquitous smartphones and social media, when evidence of the “Ballot Security Task Force” staring down black voters in line to vote could and would be streamed in real-time on Election Day, is a separate question. But that’s the genesis of Abrams’s complaint.

The most newsworthy soundbite from her in the media yesterday wasn’t this, by the way, it was her answer to the Times when asked if she’d agree to be VP if asked. Answer: Hell yes.

So in saying you’re open to other opportunities, that includes any potential selection for vice president?

I would be honored to be considered by any nominee.

But my responsibility is to focus on the primary. And that means using the primary as an opportunity to build the apparatus to fight voter suppression. Because in the end, no matter where I fit, no matter which ones of our nominees win, if we haven’t fought this scourge, if we haven’t pushed back against Moscow Mitch and his determination to block any legislation that would cure our voting machines, then we are all in a world of trouble.

The hard truth for her is that she’s not an obvious pick for any member of the top tier. She’s a good demographic balance for Biden and Sanders but they’re each so old that her lack of federal or statewide experience would attract intense scrutiny. She’s not such a great demographic balance for Warren and Harris since Dems would worry that an all-woman ticket might scare off some working-class voters in the midwest. Her best pairing, I think, would be with someone like Buttigieg or Beto, running as part of a “youth” ticket where you wouldn’t need to worry that the president won’t make it through a full term. Plus, Buttigieg has no federal or statewide experience either; voters will have to clear that hurdle psychologically in voting for him much more so than they will with her as VP.

Exit question: When was the last time someone without federal, statewide, or military experience was put on a ticket *as VP*? Trump lacked all three as well, but Trump had to run the gauntlet of a national primary election. Republican voters sized him up and declared him worthy notwithstanding his lack of government credentials. Abrams is aiming to land on the ticket as an appointee, not as the choice of Democratic voters. I think the last person to pull that off was Sargent Shriver, George McGovern’s VP in 1972, although Shriver had served as ambassador to France and as head of the Peace Corps so he’d had some nominal federal duties before he was named. Abrams would be breaking new ground in the VP slot.

The post Stacey Abrams: Republicans could send off-duty law enforcement into polling places next year to intimidate minority voters appeared first on Hot Air.

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This Week’s Democrat Polling in ‘Parks & Rec’ GIFs

Another week, new polling.  In previous weeks, we’ve looked at polling in Taylor Swift lyrics, Archer GIFs, and Arrested Development. This week, Quinnipiac polling and Parks & Rec GIFs.

Let’s see how the democrats are doing.

The Overall Democratic Field

They’re a very cool grip that’s killing it with the young people.

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Democrat Polling in ‘Parks & Rec’ GIFs taylor swift Polling poll Parks and Recreation parks and rec kamala harris Joe Biden Front Page Stories Elizabeth Warren democrats democratic democrat Bernie Sanders Arrested Development archer Allow Media Exception 2020

First Place- Joe Biden (34%)

Once again, Uncle Joe comes out on top. The voters seem to like him as much as Leslie Knope does.

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Democrat Polling in ‘Parks & Rec’ GIFs taylor swift Polling poll Parks and Recreation parks and rec kamala harris Joe Biden Front Page Stories Elizabeth Warren democrats democratic democrat Bernie Sanders Arrested Development archer Allow Media Exception 2020

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Democrat Polling in ‘Parks & Rec’ GIFs taylor swift Polling poll Parks and Recreation parks and rec kamala harris Joe Biden Front Page Stories Elizabeth Warren democrats democratic democrat Bernie Sanders Arrested Development archer Allow Media Exception 2020

Second Place- Elizabeth Warren (15%)

Well, that’s a huge gap between first and second place. Maybe it’s because she basically painted the murals in Pawnee City Hall. If she doesn’t get a White House, gig, though, I know somebody else who might be hiring.

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Democrat Polling in ‘Parks & Rec’ GIFs taylor swift Polling poll Parks and Recreation parks and rec kamala harris Joe Biden Front Page Stories Elizabeth Warren democrats democratic democrat Bernie Sanders Arrested Development archer Allow Media Exception 2020

Third Place- Kamala Harris (12%)

Just a bit behind Warren, we’ve got Kamala Harris. Half of the people she’s put in jail are like:

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Democrat Polling in ‘Parks & Rec’ GIFs taylor swift Polling poll Parks and Recreation parks and rec kamala harris Joe Biden Front Page Stories Elizabeth Warren democrats democratic democrat Bernie Sanders Arrested Development archer Allow Media Exception 2020

Fourth Place- Bernie Sanders (11%)

Just one point behind Harris, we have the man who doesn’t understand math. May I suggest a new campaign slogan?

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Democrat Polling in ‘Parks & Rec’ GIFs taylor swift Polling poll Parks and Recreation parks and rec kamala harris Joe Biden Front Page Stories Elizabeth Warren democrats democratic democrat Bernie Sanders Arrested Development archer Allow Media Exception 2020

BUT WAIT!

“Don’t know” came in at 12%, showing us just how passionate people are about their choices.

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The post This Week’s Democrat Polling in ‘Parks & Rec’ GIFs appeared first on RedState.

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The Boris bounce: where are the votes coming from, and where might more be available?

As you’d expect on the Sunday after a new Prime Minister takes office, there are a raft of new polls out in today’s newspapers, each trying to judge what impact Boris Johnson’s arrival in Downing Street is having on the electorate.

The four polls vary in various details beyond being from different pollsters – some include different lists of parties (Greens or no Greens), some are based on more recent fieldwork than others and might therefore pick up the effects of more news about the new Government, and they each test rising or falling vote shares by comparing back to differently dated previous polls, ranging from earlier this week to all the way back to the start of June. Here are all the details:

ComRes

Conservative: 28 per cent (+3)

Labour: 27 per cent (-1)

Liberal Democrat: 19 per cent (+2)

Brexit Party: 16 per cent (-3)

Green: 4 per cent (-1)

Poll undertaken Wednesday 24th – Thursday 25th July. Changes compared to 16th July.

YouGov

Conservative: 31 per cent (+6)

Labour: 21 per cent (+2)

Liberal Democrat: 20 per cent (-3)

Brexit Party: 13 per cent (-4)

Poll undertaken Thursday 25th July – Friday 26th July. Changes compared to 24th July.

DeltaPoll

Conservative: 30 per cent (+10)

Labour: 25 per cent (-1)

Liberal Democrat: 18 per cent (+2)

Brexit Party: 14 per cent (-10)

Poll undertaken Thursday 25th July – Saturday 27th July. Changes compared to 1st June.

Opinium

Conservative: 30 per cent (+7)

Labour: 28 per cent (+3)

Liberal Democrat: 16 per cent (+1)

Brexit Party: 15 per cent (-7)

Green: 5 per cent (-3)

Poll undertaken Wednesday 24th – Friday 26th July. Changes compared to 5th July.

There are few things to note.

First, the Conservative vote is up in each poll. Which you believe, +3, +6, +7 or +10, is up to you, but the presence of a shift in the same direction in the findings of each company is hard to ignore.

Second, the Brexit Party appears to be being squeezed, with changes in their vote share of -3, -4, -10 and -7. Watch how closely those match the Tory rise in each respective pollster’s results.

Third, the Liberal Democrat vote is essentially unchanged across the board: +2, -3, +2, +1. They gained a new leader this week, just as the Conservatives did, but Jo Swinson appears not to have changed their standing much at all as yet.

Fourth, Labour is essentially unchanged, too: -1, +2, -1, +3.

So what we’re currently seeing is not a single, two-sided race, as is traditional; nor a simple free-for-all melee in a country which has become a four-way marginal.

Rather, there are two electoral contests underway. The Conservatives under Boris Johnson are squeezing the Brexit Party, to try to reunite the old Vote Leave majority for getting out of the EU. At the same time, Labour and the Liberal Democrats are battling over territory which is varyingly lefty and Remainy.

In the former contest, Johnson’s early days show some promise, but in the latter it appears Labour are unable to win back the votes they lost to the Lib Dems, while Swinson is in search of a moment to cut through to further eat into, and maybe even overtake, the Labour vote.

Each race has one new participant within it, which makes both unpredictable and subject to potentially swift change as voters get to know the new leaders. While the Conservatives have made early progress, any actual seizure of voters from the Brexit Party at the ballot box is for obvious reasons dependent on actual results in delivering Brexit. By contrast, Swinson inevitably had difficulty cutting through in the media in a week dominated by Boris Johnson, but as the only female leader among the four top parties, and the youngest leader too, she has a clear chance to differentiate herself if she gets and seizes the opportunity. She must be hoping hard for a TV debate along the lines of the one that created Cleggmania in 2010.

The final thing to consider is that while these early stages of Johnson’s leadership involve a battle for votes with the Brexit Party, there’s nothing confining the Prime Minister to that conflict forever. If – and it’s not a small if – he can really squish down Nigel Farage’s vote, or somehow form a pact with him, then he can turn, secure in his Brexit flank, to focus more fully on Labour. The nightmare scenario for the Opposition is one in which they lose Remainer and moderate left ground to the resurgent Liberal Democrats and Leaver plus working class ground to the Conservatives.

In a four-way contest, currently divided into two skirmishes, the race is on to find who will be trapped fighting two opponents at the same time.

Real Estate, and Personal Injury Lawyers. Contact us at: https://westlakelegal.com 

Gallup: Immigration Now Top Overall Problem

Westlake Legal Group borderwall-AP-620x392 Gallup: Immigration Now Top Overall Problem polls Polling immigration Front Page Stories Featured Story donald trump Allow Media Exception

Central American migrants sit on top of the border wall on the beach in San Diego during a gathering of migrants living on both sides of the border, Sunday, April 29, 2018. (AP Photo/Chris Carlson)

New Gallup polling finds that Immigration is now considered the “most important problem” facing the U.S. In this July poll 27% identify immigration as the most important U.S. problem. That surpasses the record 22% naming immigration as the top problem in Gallup’s June polling:

 The issue edged out the government, which has been a fixture at or near the top of the list throughout the latter part of the Obama administration and the Trump administration.

Race relations or racism (7%) and healthcare (7%) are the only other two issues to receive as many as 5% of mentions this month.

There was the usual partisan divide with 42% of Republicans, 20% of independents and 20% of Democrats mentioning immigration as the nation’s top problem.

The poll was conducted July 1-12, 2019 and has a margin of sampling error of ±3%.

The Gallup polling comes as Democrats were warned that the Democrats’ open border policy cedes the “rule of law” ground to Republicans and creates “the false dichotomy of America as either a nation of immigrants or a nation of laws”—making the party and its candidates appear soft on enforcement. A note to the Liberal think tank the Center for American Progress, which issued the warning, it is not a false dichotomy. Nor is it just an appearance. Rather it is the direct product of the Socialist Democrats’ decision to support open borders and special benefits like free health care for illegal aliens.

The Liberal warning was issued as President Trump continues his efforts to reform the immigration system that is riddled with “major loopholes.” As president Trump said during his reelection campaign rally in North Carolina last Tuesday:

We’ve got to straighten out our immigration laws. You know, in a very short period of time, if the Democrats would give us a few votes, we could solve the immigration problem and it would be so great.

We almost accomplished immigration reform in 2006. Senate Republicans reached a compromise on the status of millions of illegals in the U.S. The compromise would have treated illegal aliens differently based upon the length of time they have been in the U.S. But According to the Associated Press and Eleanor Clift the Democrats, led by Sen. Schumer, wanted a political advantag0e more than they wanted immigration reform.

The post Gallup: Immigration Now Top Overall Problem appeared first on RedState.

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This Week’s Dem Polling in Arrested Development Gifs

Another week, another poll- this one by CBS News/YouGov. We’ve turned to Taylor Swift and Archer for help remembering which candidate is which in the past and, this week, we’re looking to Arrested Development for help.

How’s the field looking in general? Most voters seem downright delighted with the options they have going into 2020.

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Dem Polling in Arrested Development Gifs Polling Pete Buttigieg Mayor Pete kamala harris Julian Castro Joe Biden Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren elections Election democrats Beto O'Rourke beto Bernie Sanders Amy Klobuchar Allow Media Exception 2020

In first place, as always, is Joe Biden (at 25%). He’s got a couple of pretty big problems, though.

First of all, he’s white and male.

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Dem Polling in Arrested Development Gifs Polling Pete Buttigieg Mayor Pete kamala harris Julian Castro Joe Biden Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren elections Election democrats Beto O'Rourke beto Bernie Sanders Amy Klobuchar Allow Media Exception 2020

Second, he’s handsy.

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Dem Polling in Arrested Development Gifs Polling Pete Buttigieg Mayor Pete kamala harris Julian Castro Joe Biden Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren elections Election democrats Beto O'Rourke beto Bernie Sanders Amy Klobuchar Allow Media Exception 2020

These are supposed to be the things they hate about Donald Trump, so it’s going to be hard to run a candidate with the same attributes.

Maybe they’ll find better luck in their second place candidate (who is 5 points behind)- Elizabeth Warren. She is, umm, also white. And doing surprisingly well considering the whole thing where she lied about that.

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Dem Polling in Arrested Development Gifs Polling Pete Buttigieg Mayor Pete kamala harris Julian Castro Joe Biden Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren elections Election democrats Beto O'Rourke beto Bernie Sanders Amy Klobuchar Allow Media Exception 2020

That’s some hard core appropriation, Liz.

Kamala Harris brings in 16% of the vote in this poll and, with it, takes third place. With her record on criminal justice, it’s truly incredible she’s in the double digits.

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Dem Polling in Arrested Development Gifs Polling Pete Buttigieg Mayor Pete kamala harris Julian Castro Joe Biden Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren elections Election democrats Beto O'Rourke beto Bernie Sanders Amy Klobuchar Allow Media Exception 2020

Bernie Sanders is just one point behind Ms. Harris with 15%. Here he is explaining his economic theories to anyone who understands math.

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Dem Polling in Arrested Development Gifs Polling Pete Buttigieg Mayor Pete kamala harris Julian Castro Joe Biden Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren elections Election democrats Beto O'Rourke beto Bernie Sanders Amy Klobuchar Allow Media Exception 2020

The gap between 4th and 5th place is huge. Pete Buttigieg has less than half the votes of Bernie in this poll with only 6%. Maybe don’t brand yourself as “Mayor Pete” when you were mayor of a failing crime-ridden city. Doesn’t send a great message to viewers.

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Dem Polling in Arrested Development Gifs Polling Pete Buttigieg Mayor Pete kamala harris Julian Castro Joe Biden Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren elections Election democrats Beto O'Rourke beto Bernie Sanders Amy Klobuchar Allow Media Exception 2020

Poor BetoIn 6th place with only 4% of the votes, he’s longing for the days when he was running against Ted Cruz and was the DNC darling. Now he’s walking around like:

Westlake Legal Group Buster-Awards This Week’s Dem Polling in Arrested Development Gifs Polling Pete Buttigieg Mayor Pete kamala harris Julian Castro Joe Biden Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren elections Election democrats Beto O'Rourke beto Bernie Sanders Amy Klobuchar Allow Media Exception 2020

Julian Castro. 2%. What else is there even to say? I honestly keep forgetting he exists. So, just one question for those 2% of voters:

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Dem Polling in Arrested Development Gifs Polling Pete Buttigieg Mayor Pete kamala harris Julian Castro Joe Biden Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren elections Election democrats Beto O'Rourke beto Bernie Sanders Amy Klobuchar Allow Media Exception 2020

At 1% and, for the purposes of this list, in last place, we’ve got Amy Klobuchar:

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Dem Polling in Arrested Development Gifs Polling Pete Buttigieg Mayor Pete kamala harris Julian Castro Joe Biden Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren elections Election democrats Beto O'Rourke beto Bernie Sanders Amy Klobuchar Allow Media Exception 2020

With 1% of the vote, she’s tied with “Someone else.” Literally anyone else.

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Dem Polling in Arrested Development Gifs Polling Pete Buttigieg Mayor Pete kamala harris Julian Castro Joe Biden Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren elections Election democrats Beto O'Rourke beto Bernie Sanders Amy Klobuchar Allow Media Exception 2020

The post This Week’s Dem Polling in Arrested Development Gifs appeared first on RedState.

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Rassmussen Poll ShOne-Thirdhird of Democrats Believe Criticism of POC Members is Racism; Fewer People Believe Them as a Result

Westlake Legal Group Squad-Presser Rassmussen Poll ShOne-Thirdhird of Democrats Believe Criticism of POC Members is Racism; Fewer People Believe Them as a Result washington D.C. squad Rassmussen racism polls Polling Politics political correctness Front Page Stories Featured Story donald trump democrats AOC Allow Media Exception Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

CBS News

New poll shows the “racist” charge in not simply policy, but ingrained in the party.

It stands to reason that when a party uses identity politics as its core belief system then the positioning of every issue as being racial will be held by growing numbers of members. Following a week where the charge of racism has been levelled at the president regarding his comments about the select members of Congress the discussion has been pointed, and inflammatory.

While Trump’s tweet-storm was ill-advised (or, more accurately, the result of no advisory on his account) the automatic charge of “racism” has raised some questions. Since he had named no one specific – he alluded to a group – and other aspects of his comments can also be parsed, the question would be, “To what race was he being intolerant?” Is merely having disagreeable words with select members enough to be constituted as “racist”?

For a large number of Democrats that answer is “Yes”. Rassmussen just conducted a poll and the returns showed that a significant segment of party members consider merely being critical is enough to earn the accusation of intolerance.

Voters are closely divided over whether President Trump is a racist, but one-in-three Democrats think it’s racism any time a white politician criticizes a politician of color.

Note the significance here; it is not racially-charged language itself, but any criticism is considered racist. This reflects on what we have been seeing play out in the media for months now since the mid-term election. Anytime policy ideas have been challenged, or some of the many factual errors which these freshman members have discussed are pointed out there has been a knee-jerk reaction that it is rooted in racism, or sexism – or even both.

Tellingly, within this same poll, it is seen that this tactic is not having the intended effect.It is important to note, the poll was conducted on July 15-16, the days following Trump’s tweets and right in the midst of the media firestorm. Despite that emotionally-charged environment the number of people who believed Trump to be racist actually dropped in comparison to a previous poll with similar questioning.

In the poll 47% of respondents believed the President to be racist, which was down 3% from a similar poll held in January. Additionally, more believed the President is not racist (49%) and those believing the use of racism is being done for political gain rose by 6% from that earlier survey. These are the revealing metrics in this poll.

Understand, the respondents were asked about these issues during the Democrat and media effort to establish Trump’s words were deeply racist. Yet while they loudly trying to sell the nation on this notion the result was fewer people believing he is racist, and more people seeing this as a purely political effort to smear him. That is a detail very few in the media are going to be pointing out.

The post Rassmussen Poll ShOne-Thirdhird of Democrats Believe Criticism of POC Members is Racism; Fewer People Believe Them as a Result appeared first on RedState.

Westlake Legal Group Squad-Presser-300x180 Rassmussen Poll ShOne-Thirdhird of Democrats Believe Criticism of POC Members is Racism; Fewer People Believe Them as a Result washington D.C. squad Rassmussen racism polls Polling Politics political correctness Front Page Stories Featured Story donald trump democrats AOC Allow Media Exception Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez   Real Estate, and Personal Injury Lawyers. Contact us at: https://westlakelegal.com 

This Week’s Democrat Polling in Archer GIFs

New NBC/Wall Street Journal polling is out on the current field of Democratic Candidates and, seeing as it’s a Monday, we will need GIFs to deal with this.

So, here’s how things are going with the entire field:

Just like last week (which I explained in Taylor Swift lyrics), Joe Biden comes out on top. In this poll, he’s got 26% of the vote. I guess they don’t care that he’s a creeper who just can’t keep his hands to himself.

Next, we have Elizabeth Warren with 19%. Remember how she pretended to be native American to get ahead in life and then pretended it was no biggie? She kind of reminds me of Mallory.

Kamala Harris is coming in at 13% and will promise pretty much anything to raise those numbers. She’s kind of like Cheryl Tunt.

In fourth place is Bernie Sanders, also polling at 13%. He is still as economically literate as ever, leading the electorate to beg of him, as Archer begs Lana:

(preferably one on economics)

7% of poll respondents chose “not sure”as their candidate of choice. These votes are up for grabs, so the candidates are ready to sweeten the pot.

Next, also at 7%, is Pete Buttigieg“Mayor Pete,” as he’s known spends most of his time talking about the fact that he’s gay and has a husband, which nobody really cares about, but he really really wants us to.

He wants to be able to complain like Dr. Krieger.

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Democrat Polling in Archer GIFs Tom Steyer primary Polling poll pete buttigeig Mayor Pete kamala harris Joe Biden gif Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren democrats democrat Bill DeBlasio Bernie Sanders archer Allow Media Exception 2020

In this poll, 2% of the voters wouldn’t choose any of these people. They’re like:

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Democrat Polling in Archer GIFs Tom Steyer primary Polling poll pete buttigeig Mayor Pete kamala harris Joe Biden gif Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren democrats democrat Bill DeBlasio Bernie Sanders archer Allow Media Exception 2020

This week’s honorable mention goes to Bill deBlasiowho has less than 1% of the vote, and the time he killed a groundhog by pulling a Pam.

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Democrat Polling in Archer GIFs Tom Steyer primary Polling poll pete buttigeig Mayor Pete kamala harris Joe Biden gif Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren democrats democrat Bill DeBlasio Bernie Sanders archer Allow Media Exception 2020

I would also like to welcome Tom Steyer to the race! As a billionaire, he has the most in common with railroad heiress Cheryl Tunt, and I imagine going to his house would be something like this.

Westlake Legal Group giphy This Week’s Democrat Polling in Archer GIFs Tom Steyer primary Polling poll pete buttigeig Mayor Pete kamala harris Joe Biden gif Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren democrats democrat Bill DeBlasio Bernie Sanders archer Allow Media Exception 2020

The post This Week’s Democrat Polling in Archer GIFs appeared first on RedState.

Westlake Legal Group donkey-618972-300x162 This Week’s Democrat Polling in Archer GIFs Tom Steyer primary Polling poll pete buttigeig Mayor Pete kamala harris Joe Biden gif Front Page Stories Featured Story Elizabeth Warren democrats democrat Bill DeBlasio Bernie Sanders archer Allow Media Exception 2020   Real Estate, and Personal Injury Lawyers. Contact us at: https://westlakelegal.com 

New Poll Is Good News for Trump, Smashes Conventional Wisdom on Major Issues

Westlake Legal Group illegal-families-620x390 New Poll Is Good News for Trump, Smashes Conventional Wisdom on Major Issues republicans public Polling Politics Media Fail media bias Harvard/Harris Poll General Election Front Page Stories Front Page Featured Story donald trump Conventional Wisdom 2020 election

Guatemalan immigrant Amariliz Ortiz joins families impacted by the immigration raids during a rally calling on the Obama Administration to protect Central American women and children seeking refuge in the United States. (AP Photo / Nick Ut)

This isn’t necessarily surprising in and of itself as much as it’s surprising to see a polling company actually ask and publish answers to these questions.

If you are on Twitter or partake in mainstream press, you’d be given the impression that Donald Trump is on the wrong side of every single major issue he’s pushing. From immigration, to the census, to trade. I follow The Washington Post because I unfortunately have to in order to know what to react to, and the sheer amount of “perspective” and “opinion” pieces they shove out in a 24 hour period opposing Trump is mind-blowing.

Of course, the media and Twitter aren’t real life and a new poll by Harvard/Harris shows that in stark detail.

Credit to Eddie Zipperer for putting the results in an easy to post thread.

The result on asylum is very interesting given the media narrative we constantly see painted. Most Americans appear to fall on the side of common sense when it comes to the wave of asylum seekers crossing the border illegally. You simply can’t give asylum to every economic migrant. While wanting to help everyone may be morally laudable, it’s not realistic or sustainable for the United States.  Asylum has always been predicated on imminent danger via organized violence, usually involving war or government persecution.

Trump being on the right side of the ICE deportation issue is a big slap at conventional wisdom. Again, we see Americans erring on the side of common sense, realizing that those that have legally adjudicated deportation orders need to be deported or we will simply have anarchy on the border. You’ll also see in the poll that 59% of respondents believe immigration authorities are acting in a fair manner, contrary to the hysteria we saw last week from the Democrat party.

Now for the best part though.

There has been literal gnashing of teeth for months over the idea of adding a citizenship to the census. This despite it being on there for 175 years and the President having clear statutory authority to re-add it.

A full 67% of the public believe that’s the right path. That’s a huge repudiation of the mainstream media talking points on the issue. They are not even close to having majority support on their side.

The abortion question is more expected and shows the 2020 Democrat field on the wrong side of most voters when it comes to repealing the Hyde Amendment.

There’s more involving questions on Trump and investigations that are also just incredible.

So there you have it. Despite the press pushing and pushing the idea that Trump’s positions are wildly unpopular, he actually scores highly in nearly every major question of policy. Even on the Russia issue, a majority are very interested in seeing the origins and possible abuse that took place, which is something CNN assures us isn’t important.

Let this be a lesson that what you see in the media is simply noise. If Trump can make himself more personally likable, he will walk to re-election. He just needs to make sure he doesn’t alienate voters with any major outbursts. Unfortunately, that’s far from assured given Trump’s past behavior, but it does show that he’s got room to grow if he chooses to water the seeds.

The public are largely with him on actual policy and direction. That’s a really big factor for the President heading into next year.

————————————————-

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The post New Poll Is Good News for Trump, Smashes Conventional Wisdom on Major Issues appeared first on RedState.

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The Media’s Turn On Joe Biden Is Complete, But Will The Voters Take Heed?

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Over the past few days, what we’ve seen is nothing short of a full-on media dogpile on Joe Biden.

His statements on James Eastland, a segregationist he served in the Senate with, were just the start. Then, it turned into a public feud with Corey Booker, who is also a candidate in the Democratic primary.

And now, we have stories with staffers saying they tried to warn Biden about making these statements and keeping him from making other problematic gaffes, more on his time with racists and segregationists in Washington, and even a piece at POLITICO titled “Grandpa Simpson runs for president.

As thunderbolts crash around him, Joe Biden is facing an urgent question: What exactly is the rationale for his presidential candidacy?

The answers given by Biden sympathizers usually are rooted in character and personal history. Here is a decent man who has lived long and seen a lot, through setbacks and tragedy, and knows enough to understand and defend the timeless virtues that are so absent but also so needed in modern Washington. Late in life, the man and moment are in harmony at last for a heroic final chapter.

The hope is that voters will embrace Biden as a kind of American Churchill.

The past 24 hours raise, not for the first time, a more painful possibility: Grampa Simpson is running for president.

While it’s nice to see it happen to a Democrat for a change, it does raise some very interesting questions about the effect the media’s coverage will have on the voters. It’s a question that is being raised by some right-leaning elections analysts on Twitter, many of whom were also burned by the “Hillary Clinton is gonna win” polling of 2016.

As I’ve explained before, much of the mainstream media operates under a theory in the mass communications world that states the goal of the media is to set the agenda for the day through their coverage. They believe it is their job to tell us what’s important and what’s not. This is done in many ways, starting with the stories that lead the newscast and the stories that barely get mentioned. Then comes the framing of the story, the angle they take to tell it, and other editorial decisions like that.

Finally, it’s the presentation – how it all comes together.

At least, that is how it’s supposed to be. And, in fact, if you look at the leaked internal polling and the job approval polling for Trump, it is clear that the public does not seem to like him. When that polling comes out, it’s a major story. “Nobody likes Trump!” they scream.

But didn’t they say the same thing in 2016? The national polling showed Hillary would win. In fact, the percentages ended up being close to right. The problem is that no one focused on the state-level polling, and no one really got a feel of how the actual voters felt. We only knew what the numbers suggested.

So… what happened? Did the polls lie? I don’t think so, but I do think that polls focused on the wrong questions. It wasn’t a matter of whether or not you liked Trump over Hillary, but whether people were happy where the country was at the time – a time when Democrats ran it.

The answer, as it turned out, was “No.” And Trump won the election.

So the media’s narrative didn’t prevail there. And, in fact, people are still answering that question in the polling, just in a different way.

If you look at the RealClearPolitics average of the polling on the direction of the country, you see that way more people disapprove of the direction we’re headed than approve. But, if you look at the polling on Trump’s job approval, it’s not as bad – he’s holding his head above 50 percent for much of the polling that’s available.

Breaking down the job approval, you see that job approval on foreign policy is about as bad as the direction of the country polling. However, job approval on the economy is on top of the disapproval. When you have a nation of several million, and only a few of those million watch cable news and get their information from the agenda-setting networks, some of the messages won’t reach everyone.

But, the ability to get a job when you couldn’t before, get a bigger tax refund, pay less in interest, etc. does reach many millions more people. The media’s narrative doesn’t have that much of an impact when people can respond with “Yeah… but things for me are better than they were before him.” That is going to mean something over the next couple of years.

That’s why I have to wonder what the impact of Biden’s gaffes will be now. I’m not saying he won’t take a hit, but I don’t think it’s going to be as pronounced as the media are trying to make it out to be. Talking about how closely he worked with segregationists isn’t a good look, and people will not like that he’s bragging about it. Biden will see a gradual decline, but will still be a player in this primary as long as he wants to be, regardless of what the media class wants.

I have a hard time buying into the idea that the media’s ability to set the tone of the political debate is as strong as it was before. It still has some impact, but other media – partisan, social, etc. – are able to soften the blow of the bad news and pump up the good news (and vice versa!) with more ease than they had prior to, say, the Obama Administration.

That is going to mean something in 2020, but I don’t think many have figured that out yet.

The post The Media’s Turn On Joe Biden Is Complete, But Will The Voters Take Heed? appeared first on RedState.

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Bernie on why Warren is gaining on him: Let’s face it, some people want to nominate a woman

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Via the Free Beacon, he’s quick to add “I understand that” to soften the blow of his insinuation. But the fact remains that if Joe Biden had lost ground to Warren in the polls and then claimed that it was because she’s a woman, he’d be shredded by the progressive commentariat. “Why didn’t Biden attribute her growing popularity to her policy ideas? He went out of his way to demean her by implying that her gender is the prime reason people support her.”

Surely that’d be worth a pissy AOC tweet or two.

But because Bernie is the Great Socialist Hope, whose every last rhetorical fart smells like roses and lavender, the left will lay off him and so will Warren. She’s hoping to win over the fanatics in his base, after all, starting by landing his endorsement if he flames out in the early states and she performs well. She’ll simply have to endure these early jabs in silence as Sanders tries to cope with flop sweat.

For now, the Democratic civil war will be largely one-sided.

Sanders-Warren, though, has the potential to get bitter. If Biden pulls two or three more of these verbal gaffes, Democratic insiders are going to start worrying that he just can’t go the distance, and they’ll probably settle on Warren, at least as things stand now, because she has earned it (though it’s way too early to count out Kamala Harris and two or maybe three others).

And if it really is the case that the party starts to close ranks around Warren, how will Sanders and his devoted base react? The bottom line here is the same thing it was in 2016. Sanders is not a Democrat. He hates Trump as much as the rest of them and wants to see Trump lose; no doubt of that. But he has no loyalty to the Democratic Party in the way all the rest of them do. If he loses, he will not act in as predictable a fashion.

Yeah, there’s another response Bernie might have given when asked why Warren’s gaining on him in Democratic polls. “Well, unlike me, she’s a Democrat.”

The punchline here, as you know if you read last night’s post, is that Warren’s gender is likely more of a liability to her than an asset. Maybe that wouldn’t have been true in 2016, but in 2019 there’s data to suggest that she’s regarded as less electable because she’s a woman. That could be a “Trump thing,” with Dems who were spooked by Hillary’s surprise defeat now convinced that only an alpha male will appeal sufficiently to Rust Belt voters to wrest back those states from Trump. Or it could be a more straightforward matter in which some Dems hold the sexist belief that a woman as commander-in-chief would lack the requisite “toughness” for the job. Either way, it makes Bernie’s claim much more dubious. Contra his belief that it’s helping her, her gender may be the one thing that’s keeping her from passing him in most polls right now.

Exit question: Why didn’t Cuomo ask him, “If this is all about gender, why aren’t the other women candidates gaining too?”

The post Bernie on why Warren is gaining on him: Let’s face it, some people want to nominate a woman appeared first on Hot Air.

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