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Westlake Legal Group > Press Releases (Page 64)

As predicted, Theresa May survives to fight another day

Westlake Legal Group TheresaMay As predicted, Theresa May survives to fight another day vote Theresa May The Blog Prime Minister Parliament no confidence Great Britain Brexit

Following the landslide defeat of British Prime Minister Theresa May’s Brexit deal, Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party quickly moved to call for a vote of no confidence in the full House of Commons, as Ed discussed yesterday morning. There seemed to be some confusion on social media yesterday over how they could do this when May had just survived such a vote and was supposedly insulated against another for one year. The explanation is that the previous no-confidence vote was only among the Conservative Party and their internal rules forbid repeating such a challenge for twelve months. This was a vote of the entire House of Commons.

Roughly a week ago, when it became obvious that the Brexit deal wasn’t going to be approved, I predicted that May would most likely beat back such a challenge. The Tories may not like the deal May negotiated with the EU Parliament, but they like the idea of teaming up with and potentially handing over power to Labour even less. Sure enough, Corbyn’s vote was called and the Prime Minister slipped the noose by a thin margin. (NY Post)

British Prime Minister Theresa May’s government has survived a no-confidence vote called after May’s Brexit deal was overwhelmingly rejected by lawmakers.

The House of Commons expressed confidence in the government by 325 votes to 306, meaning May can remain in office.

Had the government lost, Britain would have faced an election within weeks while preparing to leave the European Union on March 29.

The Prime Minister is still in power and she supposedly has until Monday to come up with a new Brexit deal proposal to offer her nation. How anyone thinks that’s going to happen in a successful fashion is a mystery. They’ve been working on some sort of deal for years now and are no closer to a nationally acceptable package that the EU would sign off on than when they began.

The reason I wanted to bring this up again is that much of this debate ignores the underlying reality that British politicians don’t seem to want to say aloud. During the initial referendum, the British people voted (narrowly) to leave the European Union, but they were voting on an idea, not an actual plan. They held the referendum and tallied the votes without having even a hint of how the objective would be achieved. And now that lack of foresight is coming back to haunt them.

The reality is that the goals of Great Britain and the EU are completely at odds, but both sides need to agree on a deal or the Brits will be forced to leave the union without any deal in place. It doesn’t matter whether you’re talking about Ireland and its borders, the trade and transfer of goods across the channel or travel restrictions between the islands and the continent. The EU doesn’t want anyone to leave and will seek to punish defectors with a harsh deal at the negotiating table. The Brits want a better deal that makes future dealings with other European nations go more smoothly.

The point is, there was never going to be a deal that the British Parliament was going to like. That put the Prime Minister in an untenable position. In the end, it was either going to be her deal, a No Deal Brexit, or Article 50 would have to be pushed back or canceled entirely, leading to a second referendum.

And this explains, once again, what is probably the biggest reason that Theresa May is still residing at 10 Downing Street. If they get rid of her, somebody else would be stuck with the job. And under the current conditions, nobody really wants it.

The post As predicted, Theresa May survives to fight another day appeared first on Hot Air.

Westlake Legal Group TheresaMay-300x159 As predicted, Theresa May survives to fight another day vote Theresa May The Blog Prime Minister Parliament no confidence Great Britain Brexit   Real Estate, and Personal Injury Lawyers. Contact us at: https://westlakelegal.com 

Great news from Rudy: “I never said there was no collusion”

Westlake Legal Group cuomo-giuliani Great news from Rudy: “I never said there was no collusion” The Blog Russia Investigation Rudy Giuliani Robert Mueller Paul Manacourt Natalia Veselnitskaya Jared Kushner donald trump jr donald trump collusion Chris Cuomo

Don’t worry about Donald Trump’s defense — he has top men working on it. Top. Men. For instance, here’s Rudy Giuliani, Trump’s lead attorney, on CNN last night with Chris Cuomo apparently admitting that some “collusion” might well have taken place. “I never said there was no collusion,” Giuliani tells Chris Cuomo, only that it didn’t involve Trump personally:

President Trump’s legal spokesman Rudy Giuliani on Wednesday night appeared to grant the possibility that members of Trump’s campaign did, in fact, collude with the Russians during the 2016 campaign.

And in the process, he contradicted dozens of previous denials that both the Trump team (and Trump himself) have offered.

“I never said there was no collusion between the campaign or between people in the campaign,” Giuliani told CNN’s Chris Cuomo, before getting cut off.

“Yes, you have,” Cuomo said.

Giuliani shot back: “I have not. I said ‘the president of the United States.’”

The CNN clip picks up in the middle of the argument over “collusion,” by which Cuomo apparently means “contact” as the argument unfolds. Rather than initially pointing out the difference, Giuliani initially agrees to the definition and then blurts out the eye-popping line. Later in the interview Giuliani does make the distinction by explaining that the “collusion” charge has to do with whether any crime was committed — in this case, participation in or encouragement of the hack on the DNC. By that time, though, the damage is done, and the rest of the ten-minute clip goes in and out of various rabbit holes, such as whether Giuliani is demanding the right to rewrite Robert Mueller’s report (no, just to see it before its release).

Was there contact between members of the campaign and Russians? Of course there was, and not just involving Manafort. Family members Donald Trump Jr and Jared Kushner (along with Paul Manafort) made the incredibly stupid decision to meet personally with Russian attorney Natalia Veselnitskaya in their father’s building, for Pete’s sake, for the purpose of getting dirt on Hillary Clinton. Veselnitskaya turned out to have some interesting connections within the Putin regime, too. However, that meeting took place well after the DNC hack, and there’s no indication that anything of substance occurred in the meeting other than the idiotic decision to meet with her in the first place.

The recent revelations about Manafort that have Cuomo so exercised seem a lot less exciting than he makes them out to be, too. Internal polling isn’t really much of a secret, and Cuomo’s suggestion that the campaign shared them with Russia for the purpose of targeting their fake-news campaign doesn’t make much sense. By the time Manafort offered to share that data, the Russian disinformation campaign was well under way, and there was plenty of public polling data to use for such targeting. (In fact, they could have simply used one of their shell companies to contract with commercial data firms that produce much better targeting data.) Don’t forget that the Trump campaign’s internal polling wasn’t all that sophisticated in the first place; they were way behind on data and didn’t take that kind of research seriously until after the convention, when Manafort was already out. Manafort’s offer to share that data likely has much more to do with his debts to Russian oligarchs than “collusion” with a disinformation campaign, and has even less to do with the DNC hack.

But now, of course, the headlines will all be that Rudy Giuliani tacitly admits that “collusion” took place, thanks to his strange impulse to get on television and have these arguments. What exactly was Giuliani hoping to do, and why? The Mueller investigation is almost over, so perhaps he’s pre-spinning what Giuliani and his legal team think Mueller might reveal. If that’s the case, then the Mueller report may not be the nothingburger that some have predicted. But if this is just Rudy being Rudy on TV, then perhaps Trump might want to consider benching his Top Man before he gets buried by him.

The post Great news from Rudy: “I never said there was no collusion” appeared first on Hot Air.

Westlake Legal Group cuomo-giuliani-300x162 Great news from Rudy: “I never said there was no collusion” The Blog Russia Investigation Rudy Giuliani Robert Mueller Paul Manacourt Natalia Veselnitskaya Jared Kushner donald trump jr donald trump collusion Chris Cuomo   Real Estate, and Personal Injury Lawyers. Contact us at: https://westlakelegal.com 

Ben Roback: Three weeks into a record shutdown and no sign of a compromise

Ben Roback is Head of Trade and International Policy at Cicero Group.

As British politics sinks further into a self-enforced abyss of disagreement with no end in sight, it is worth remembering that we are not alone in navigating choppy waters.

The US Government is in its third week of a partial shutdown that it brought entirely on itself.

The shutdown is now entering day 27, and crucially there is little indication of a cooling of tensions that could provide a light at the end of the tunnel. Its implications are octopus-like, reaching simultaneously into complex areas of public policy and people’s everyday lives.

Hundreds of thousands of federal employees are either being furloughed or working without pay, bringing pain to households in commuter towns in Washington, Maryland, and Virginia. Around the country, a lack of airport security personnel means screening takes hours when it should take minutes (scarily, in three weeks, Atlanta airport is expecting over 100,00 passengers coming into town for the Super Bowl).

The longest government shutdown in history shows no sign of ending any time soon. Americans employed by the government and tourists hoping to visit national parks are losing out at the sharp end of the shutdown – but does its continuation in fact suit both parties?

Playing the blame game

Both the White House and Congressional Democrats have been keen to continually lament the shutdown, scathing about its impact on Main Street American jobs and the macroeconomic impact. The longer the shutdown goes on, the more both sides are proven correct – yesterday the New York Times wrote:

“The partial government shutdown is inflicting far greater damage on the United States economy than previously estimated, the White House acknowledged on Tuesday, as President Trump’s economists doubled projections of how much economic growth is being lost each week the standoff with Democrats continues.”

For the President, this brings a significant risk. Donald Trump has prided his tenure so far on the economic impacts he has delivered – a bullish stock market and wholesale tax reform for companies and individuals. Tumbling economic forecasts suddenly undermine that narrative, which will be one of the central features of his 2020 re-election campaign.

It represents a likely battle taking place between the economic and immigration advisers in the President’s inner circle. After all, the shutdown is only entering its 26th day because of the White House’s insistence that fiscal provisions to keep the Government open contain over $5 billion in government funding to build a wall on the US/Mexico border.

With absolutely no surprise whatsoever, Democrats are refusing to acquiesce – immigration became one of their top priorities as an increasingly diverse electorate become ever more important to their electoral coalition. In previous congressional cycles, the focus had been on securing a long-term solution for the so-called “dreamers”, the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) immigration policy. Notable attempts failed under President Obama in 2014. Since Trump made chants of “BUILD! THE! WALL!” a central feature of his election campaigns, that focus has sharply shifted to the issue of the wall.

So, who is to blame? The President has sought to shift blame towards the Democrats, whom he continues to describe as “obstructionist”. Following a televised address to the nation last week, three polls showed that strategy is failing to land:

  • A Quinnipiac University poll (here) found that 56 per cent of voters held Trump and congressional Republicans responsible for the shutdown whereas only 36 per cent said they thought congressional Democrats were responsible.
  • A CNN/SSRS poll (here) found that 55 per cent of Americans blamed the President for the shutdown, compared to 32 per cent who blamed the Democrats. Interestingly, the poll also found that a majority (56 per cent) opposed the deal whilst only 39 per cent supported it.
  • A CBS News/YouGov poll (here) found that 47 per cent of Americans blamed Mr Trump “most” for the shutdown, compared to 30 per cent who cited Democrats. However, 20 per cent allocated blame “equally” on both parties, suggesting neither is gaining as a result of the current malaise. Worryingly for the GOP, these criticisms are held acutely amongst suburban voters – whose votes will be crucial for Republicans in states like Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Virginia in 2020.

Immigration shaping up to be the biggest wedge issue in 2020

As we enter the lame duck period, so much of what happens in US politics will be viewed through the lens of the 2020 general election. The proof? Since Christmas, three Democrats have launched their early campaigns for the presidency and a fourth appears imminent. On the left, the pressure from the grass roots will be to hold an aggressive line in staunch opposition to the wall. There will be absolutely no political reward whatsoever for riding to the rescue of a President that has buried himself in a bunker. And so:

  • Elizabeth Warren, who was the first to launch her campaign for 2020, has tweeted: “24 days into the #TrumpShutdown and over 800,000 federal employees have already missed 1 paycheck. How many more before Republicans stop crushing working families and re-open the government? Time to end this.”
  • Tulsi Gabbard has tweeted: “Today an estimated 800,000 federal employees will miss their first paychecks of the year. Families are suffering. Our country is less safe. The impact of this shutdown is real.”
  • Kirsten Gilibrand has tweeted: “The emergency at our border is the cruel treatment of children who are still detained. It’s the asylum seekers being shut out. It’s @realDonaldTrump’s dehumanizing attacks on immigrants in need. We need to end the shutdown and get back to solving real problems families face.”

For the President, the strategy of keeping the government shut down unless Democrats vote to fund his border wall doesn’t seem to be working. According to FiveThirtyEight’s presidential approval tracker, since the shutdown began the president’s aggregate approval rating has fallen from 42.2 per cent to 40.8 per cent.

No end in sight

The 2018 midterm elections saw the Republicans and Democrats trade on the currency of anger and fear in the American public. Those two sentiments have continued into the 116th Congress and there is no sign it will end any time soon. For that reason, it is hard to forecast a sudden change in sentiment from the White House or Congressional Democrats, one of which would be needed to bring about an end to the shutdown.

Real Estate, and Personal Injury Lawyers. Contact us at: https://westlakelegal.com 

WSJ: Cohen paid thousands to rig polls in Trump’s favor

President Donald Trump’s former “fixer” Michael Cohen paid the head of a small technology company thousands in 2015 to rig online polls and elevate Cohen’s character to benefit Trump’s presidential campaign, The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday.

Westlake Legal Group cnn_topstories?d=yIl2AUoC8zA WSJ: Cohen paid thousands to rig polls in Trump's favor   Westlake Legal Group cnn_topstories?d=7Q72WNTAKBA WSJ: Cohen paid thousands to rig polls in Trump's favor   Westlake Legal Group cnn_topstories?i=YgojsWjMt2g:MVO9zE35eeg:V_sGLiPBpWU WSJ: Cohen paid thousands to rig polls in Trump's favor   Westlake Legal Group cnn_topstories?d=qj6IDK7rITs WSJ: Cohen paid thousands to rig polls in Trump's favor   Westlake Legal Group cnn_topstories?i=YgojsWjMt2g:MVO9zE35eeg:gIN9vFwOqvQ WSJ: Cohen paid thousands to rig polls in Trump's favor

Westlake Legal Group YgojsWjMt2g WSJ: Cohen paid thousands to rig polls in Trump's favor

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Beto O’Rourke pens epic, rambling blog from road trip: ‘In and out of a funk’

Media darling and former Texas Senate candidate Beto O’Rourke is blogging his way through a classic American road trip, with a rambling essay telling readers he has “been stuck lately” as he hits the road to meet people and break the funk (and maybe decide on a 2020 run). 

Westlake Legal Group 694940094001_5990490713001_5990491506001-vs Beto O’Rourke pens epic, rambling blog from road trip: ‘In and out of a funk’ fox-news/politics/elections/democrats fox-news/politics/2020-presidential-election fox-news/person/beto-orourke fox news fnc/politics fnc article Adam Shaw 8af6c3f9-e804-53d0-82b4-b515397e9c93

Real Estate, and Personal Injury Lawyers. Contact us at: https://westlakelegal.com